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China new home price continued to drop in December 2025.
Key Takeaways (30s Read)
China's new and used home prices continue to fall, suggesting a worsening economic outlook.
In December 2025, China's new home prices dropped by 0.4% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year, while used home prices also fell by 0.7%. This persistent decline suggests a weakening sentiment in the housing market, as buyers are hesitant to purchase when prices are expected to continue falling. Economically, China is expected to record a 4.5% growth in Q4, the weakest in three years, with an overall full-year growth rate likely around 5%. Though exports have shown resilience, domestic consumption and investment remain significant drags on overall economic activity. The continuous decline in home prices is pressuring household demand and could hinder further economic recovery. Policymakers are cautious about large-scale stimulus measures, indicating a deliberate approach towards slower growth as they assess the economy's underlying issues.
AI Analyst
AI Opinion
"The Chinese real estate market is facing a significant downturn, as evidenced by the continuing decline in both new and used home prices. This situation reflects a broader weakness in the housing sector, where declining prices discourage consumers from making purchases amid expectations of further falls. While the government aims to maintain GDP growth around 5%, actual nominal growth remains sluggish, raising concerns about the economic outlook. Retail sales and investment continue to struggle, compounded by deflationary pressures that negatively affect consumer sentiment. Moreover, the People's Bank of China's cautious monetary policy reflects reluctance to initiate large-scale stimulus measures. Overall, China's economy appears to be supported primarily by exports, and without improvements in domestic demand, these challenges are likely to persist."
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