USDJPY
EURUSD
others
Oil prices fall as US captures Maduro, Trump orders companies to restore Venezuela's oil
Table of Contents
Key Takeaways (30s Read)
Oil prices fall sharply after the US captures Maduro, impacting the market negatively.
Oil prices are trading lower following the capture of Venezuelan President Maduro by US forces. The regime change has prompted the US to direct companies to rebuild Venezuela's oil infrastructure, which adds bearish pressure on oil prices due to expected higher supply in the medium to long term. Despite OPEC+ maintaining output through Q1 2026, market analysts speculate that they may cut production if prices fall sustainably below $55.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, crude oil has been trending lower, hitting new multi-year lows in December before a slight recovery into 2026. A major downward trendline is evident, indicating continued bearish momentum.4-Hour Chart Analysis
The 4-hour chart suggests that sellers may lean on a minor downward trendline, poised for further declines, while buyers aim for a breakout towards the $59 level.Upcoming Catalysts
Today’s US ISM Manufacturing PMI is expected, alongside important economic reports such as the ADP, ISM Services PMI, and Job Openings later this week, culminating with the NFP report on Friday.AI Analyst
AI Opinion
"The capture of President Maduro by US forces has significant implications for the oil market. The directive for US companies to rebuild Venezuela's oil infrastructure could lead to an increase in supply, exerting bearish pressure on oil prices. While OPEC+ has maintained its policies so far, potential improvements in economic activity could present a market rebound if economic indicators show strength. Currently, however, the bearish trend persists, and investors should focus on risk management around trendlines while closely monitoring upcoming key economic reports."
RECOMMENDED BROKER Trusted Broker
Maximize This Opportunity.
Turn AI-detected market inefficiencies into profit with industry-leading specs. There's a reason pros choose Exness.
Raw Spreads
0.0 pips~
Leverage
Unlimited
Execution
Instant
AI Market Analysis Team
Combining advanced AI algorithms with professional trader insights. We analyze market drivers 24/7 to provide objective trading scenarios.