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Atlanta Fed Q3 GDPNow forecast 3.5% vs 3.6% previously
Key Takeaways (30s Read)
The Atlanta Fed revised its Q3 GDP growth estimate for 2025 down to 3.5%.
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has revised its estimate for real GDP growth in Q3 2025 down to 3.5% as of December 16, from 3.6% previously. The decrease follows recent data releases from the U.S. Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistics, indicating a slight decline in the contributions from consumer spending and inventory investment, down to 1.84% and 0.09%, respectively. Adam Button, the author, expresses doubt about the utility of the report given the prevailing uncertainty in the economic data. This downward adjustment could have implications for market sentiment and trading strategies moving forward.
AI Analyst
AI Opinion
"The revision by the Atlanta Fed is a crucial signal for the market. The decrease from 3.6% to 3.5% may appear minor, yet it reflects a slowdown in economic activity that could influence future policy decisions. The decline in consumer spending's contribution is particularly concerning, as consumer spending is a major component of GDP. In this context, traders should carefully monitor market trends and develop flexible strategies based on forthcoming economic data releases and central bank policy decisions."
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