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US: Labour demand slipped way before supply – Standard Chartered
Key Takeaways (30s Read)
Labour demand slips ahead of supply; potential implications for economic outlook.
According to a recent report from Standard Chartered, US labor demand has slipped before the supply was fulfilled. Notably, since April 2024, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) may have been overstated by around 60,000 jobs per month due to birth-death adjustments. Actual job growth likely has been much weaker than the market initially perceived. This information raises concerns about the health of the labor market and the broader economic growth outlook, necessitating caution for investors. The slowdown in labor demand can lead to decreased consumption and investment, potentially adversely affecting the economy overall. Markets may need to reassess the direction of the US economy in light of this information, especially concerning how it might influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy.
AI Analyst
AI Opinion
"This report from Standard Chartered provides crucial insights into the US labor market, prompting a re-evaluation of economic growth forecasts based on traditional wage data. The analysis suggests that job growth has been weaker than expected, particularly with respect to potential impacts on interest rate policy. Given that the Federal Reserve was anticipated to raise rates, a slowdown in the labor market could lead to a reevaluation of their monetary policy approach. Investors need to pay close attention to upcoming economic indicators and rate decisions, remaining alert to changes and assessing risks in this evolving landscape."
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