GOLD
investingLive European FX news wrap: UK GDP misses, Gold extends gains
Key Takeaways (30s Read)
UK GDP misses expectations, leading to increased rate cut bets, while gold rallies.
In recent data releases, the most notable highlight was the UK's GDP missing expectations. This result heightened bets for a rate cut by the Bank of England, increasing the total easing expected by the end of 2026 from 57 basis points to 61 basis points, leading to a drop in the Pound as investors look to the possibility of further cuts.
Conversely, gold prices are surging following a key technical breakout yesterday. The decline in real yields has positively impacted gold, bringing it close to the all-time high set in October, influenced by dovish remarks from Fed Chair Powell.
US equities remain in a range but still exhibit a bullish bias. The bear steepening in US Treasuries has resumed with the 10Y-2Y spread nearing the breaking point of April 2025 highs.
The US dollar has recovered some losses from yesterday, but this seems more like a technical pullback due to the lack of catalysts today. A further pullback might occur before the upcoming NFP given the anticipated high volatility. The American session has no major events except for a few Fed speakers, and we wish everyone a nice weekend.
AI Analyst
AI Opinion
"The UK's GDP missing expectations has significantly impacted the market. Heightened rate cut expectations from the Bank of England have led to a decline in the Pound, with ripple effects felt throughout other markets. Specifically, gold continues to rise in anticipation of breaking past its all-time highs due to dovish remarks from Powell. This environment may bolster a risk-on sentiment, although the focus remains on interest rate movements. Investors should pay attention to the dynamics of the Pound and gold and prepare for changes in the market landscape."
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