EURUSD
FX option expiries for 12 January 10am New York cut
Key Takeaways (30s Read)
EUR/USD faces key defense at 1.1700, while USD/JPY is trading around 158.00 with potential pressure.
EUR/USD is in a descending trend since the start of the year, with option expiries between 1.1650 and 1.1700 likely adding pressure on price action. The 100-hour moving average sits at 1.1675, and sellers have managed to keep prices below this critical level since last week. The 1.1700 level is reinforced by the 200-hour moving average at 1.1705.
Meanwhile, renewed pressure could emerge on the dollar following Trump's comments on the Fed's independence, especially after the jobs report had eased concerns last Friday. Traders should prepare for the crucial US CPI report coming up.
For USD/JPY, there's an expiry at the 158.00 level, which isn't technically significant but could help constrain price action amid a struggling dollar. The pair previously held key resistance around 157.75-90 but failed to close above 158.00, raising questions about Friday's breakout potential. This may keep price moves in check during European trading.
AI Analyst
AI Opinion
"The upcoming market dynamics are likely to be significantly influenced by the option expiries for both EUR/USD and USD/JPY. EUR/USD remains in a bearish trend, with ongoing selling pressure as traders focus on the defense line at 1.1700. Political factors, especially comments from figures like Trump, could heighten concerns surrounding the dollar. Additionally, the impending US CPI report may introduce more volatility into the market. For USD/JPY, while the level at 158.00 is monitored, its lack of strong technical grounding means that trader sentiment towards the dollar remains critical. Overall, traders need to be alert for short-term moves driven by option expiries, particularly in scenarios where supply and demand may shift significantly."
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