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US October housing starts 1.246m vs 1.325m expected
Key Takeaways (30s Read)
October housing starts fell short of expectations, but building permits increased.
The latest data indicates that U.S. housing starts in October fell to 1.246 million, below the expected 1.325 million and down from the prior month's 1.307 million. This figure represents the lowest level since the COVID-19 pandemic and reflects ongoing weakness in the housing market due to high mortgage rates and a sluggish labor market. Additionally, building permits rose to 1.412 million, surpassing the forecast of 1.350 million, indicating a potential slight recovery in construction permitting.
Former President Trump announced a $200 billion purchase of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) to lower mortgage rates, potentially providing support to the ailing housing market. Following this news, housing-related stocks saw gains. Trump's focus on housing affordability amid the political backdrop may indicate efforts to keep the economy buoyant, especially with impending mid-term elections. However, re-accelerating inflation could force the Federal Reserve to raise rates or maintain high rates longer, posing risks to the housing market. Market watchers should look for further developments in this area.
AI Analyst
AI Opinion
"The current housing market is significantly impacted by rising interest rates, and any changes in economic policy can have immediate effects. Trump's proposed MBS purchases might provide a temporary positive effect on the market, but if inflation continues to surge, the Federal Reserve may be forced to adopt tighter measures, increasing risks. Moreover, the decreasing trend in housing starts indicates supply-side issues that could exacerbate future housing price increases. Market participants should closely monitor upcoming economic indicators and policy changes."
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