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BOC Macklem: Given the current balance of risks, the policy rate is at the right level
CAD

BOC Macklem: Given the current balance of risks, the policy rate is at the right level

Key Takeaways (30s Read)

BoC maintains the policy interest rate at 2.25%, emphasizing the resilience of the economy amidst ongoing trade adjustments.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has kept the policy interest rate at 2.25%, arguing that this level is appropriate to maintain inflation close to 2% while navigating a period of structural trade adjustments. Despite U.S. tariffs impacting key sectors, the Canadian economy remains more resilient than expected. CPI inflation is maintained around 2%, with core inflation between 2.5% and 3%. The labor market shows modest improvements, with an unemployment rate of 6.5%. However, heightened uncertainty, particularly around U.S. trade policy and the CUSMA review, poses challenges. Recent GDP revisions indicate the economy entered 2025 in better shape than previously thought, contributing to its resilience. The BoC is prepared to respond to any changes in the outlook due to elevated uncertainty.
AI Analyst

AI Opinion

"The Bank of Canada's decision to maintain the policy interest rate reflects a cautious stance in light of increasing uncertainty. The fact that the Canadian economy has proven more resilient than expected amid U.S. trade policy pressures is notable. While inflation remains contained, concerns around elevated unemployment rates and soft hiring intentions persist. Future economic indicators could prompt the BoC to adjust its approach, making it essential for investors to keep a close eye on developments. In this context, the current policy rate appears to balance inflation containment with economic support effectively. A vigilant stance is needed as the markets react and prepare for evolving conditions."
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Reviewed by: FX Market AI Editorial Team

AI Market Analysis Team

Combining advanced AI algorithms with professional trader insights. We analyze market drivers 24/7 to provide objective trading scenarios.