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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Big drop in US CPI sparks confusion
Key Takeaways (30s Read)
A significant drop in the US CPI causing confusion in the markets.
The recent release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a year-on-year figure of 2.7%, significantly below the expected 3.1%. This substantial drop initially resulted in USD selling, but skepticism soon crept in, causing limited movement in the forex market. Notably, the BLS's choice to treat some items as zeros has had an impact, marking the first real data since the government shutdown. Additionally, the two-year yields remained virtually unchanged following this report.
Moreover, the European Central Bank (ECB) maintained interest rates at 2.00% while raising the inflation forecast for 2026. Fed's Goolsbee viewed the inflation data favorably. Markets are reacting to various macroeconomic data, with the British pound experiencing a temporary surge due to the Bank of England's (BOE) expected interest rate cut, though it subsequently gave back most of the gains.
Gold prices saw a round trip reaching $4371 before falling back to $4331. In the credit market, tech firms reported strong earnings, contributing to a partial recovery in the Nasdaq index. Particularly, Micron’s revenue beat has sparked positive sentiment. Overall, the markets remain turbulent, with investors seeking attractive opportunities.
AI Analyst
AI Opinion
"The market is experiencing confusion due to the significant drop in the US CPI, although skepticism arises from the incomplete nature of the data. Notably, the difficulties in data collection during the government shutdown period raise concerns about the implications for future inflation forecasts and monetary policy. Meanwhile, the ECB's decisions and the BOE's interest rate policies could also impact the market due to distinct factors from the CPI drop. Investors need to carefully observe market movements and consider how inflation and interest rate changes might affect equity and commodity markets. Notably, improvements in the technology sector’s earnings are expected, drawing attention to potential stock price increases."
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