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US employment cost index for Q3 0.8% versus 0.9% estimate
Key Takeaways (30s Read)
The Employment Cost Index registered at 0.8%, falling short of the expected 0.9%.
The Employment Cost Index for Q3 2025 registered at 0.8%, falling short of the expected 0.9%, indicating a deceleration in growth. The data reflects uniform growth in wages and benefits at 0.8%, down from 0.9% last quarter. Yearly comparisons show civilian worker compensation growing by 3.5%. Private sector wages increased by 3.6%, and real wages showed a slight improvement of 0.6%. State and local government compensation also rose by 3.6%, supported by a 3.8% increase in benefits. This release was delayed due to the federal government shutdown, affecting survey response rates. The next report will be released on February 10, 2026, and could impact future monetary policy decisions.
AI Analyst
AI Opinion
"The Employment Cost Index report is likely to have a direct impact on the markets. The growth rate of 0.8%, which fell short of expectations, suggests a weakening labor market, particularly with the slowdown in wage growth serving as a concern. This scenario might complicate the Federal Reserve's path towards continuing interest rate hikes. Traders should closely monitor the upcoming report, as it may influence policy decisions. Furthermore, while the inflation rate stabilizing at 3.0% is a positive sign for improving real wages, doubts persist regarding the overall economic health."
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